2019 Academy Award Predictions
Best Picture:
“Black Panther”
“BlacKkKlansman”
“Bohemian Rhapsody”
“The Favourite”
“Green Book”
*“Roma”
“A Star Is Born”
“Vice”
*I think Roma will take it. I don’t like this thought because I think this movie winning is SO obvious that some of the fun is taken out of anticipating which film will win this award. It is such a cinematic masterpiece that I would expect it to win, this category just has such an obvious winner that, to me, it’s not as exciting this year.
Lead Actor:
Christian Bale, “Vice”
Bradley Cooper, “A Star Is Born”
Willem Dafoe, “At Eternity’s Gate”
*Rami Malek, “Bohemian Rhapsody”
Viggo Mortensen, “Green Book”
*Rami Malek surprised many, not me, with his wins at the Golden Globes, BAFTA’s, and SAG’s. He has picked up, I think, enough momentum to pick up another win. If anyone had asked me 6 months ago, or even a month ago, I would’ve said that, for sure, Christian Bale would win, however, I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again, Rami Malek plays a more likeable character then Christian Bale.
Christian Bale, technically, does a better job, I think, but Rami does just a dynamic performance that is so opposite from his regular personality that he probably will take the award. I, personally, love “Bohemian Rhapsody” so I think he deserves to win and he probably will.
Lead Actress:
Yalitza Aparicio, “Roma”
*Glenn Close, “The Wife”
Olivia Colman, “The Favourite”
Lady Gaga, “A Star Is Born”
Melissa McCarthy, “Can You Ever Forgive Me?”
*Glenn Close has won pretty much everything this year (except the BAFTA). She did tie with Lady Gaga for the Critics Choice Award, but she still won. I believe the fact she has never won an Oscar is bolstering her to win this year. Do I think she deserves it based on this film? No. Do I think she has earned recognition based on her long career in the world of cinema? Yes, but the word is that because she is so overdue, they’re going to give her an Oscar anyway.
Supporting Actor:
*Mahershala Ali, “Green Book”
Adam Driver, “BlacKkKlansman”
Sam Elliott, “A Star Is Born”
Richard E. Grant, “Can You Ever Forgive Me?”
Sam Rockwell, “Vice”
*This one is super easy to call. Mahershala Ali will win and I think he should win. He is really the only one that put on a “take my breath away” performance. The other actors in this category did great playing their respective roles, and I could possibly see Richard E. Grant stealing this award from Mahershala but he is the only one out of the nominated actors I could see that from.
Supporting Actress:
Amy Adams, “Vice”
Marina de Tavira, “Roma”
*Regina King, “If Beale Street Could Talk”
Emma Stone, “The Favourite”
Rachel Weisz, “The Favourite”
* Regina King has been snubbed for multiple award this season, AKA the BAFTA, but everything she is nominated for, she is winning, so although her lack of nominations for other awards might pull her chances of winning down, I don’t think her chances of winning are completely gone and she probably will still take it.
Director:
Spike Lee, “BlacKkKlansman”
Pawel Pawlikowski, “Cold War”
Yorgos Lanthimos, “The Favourite”
*Alfonso Cuarón, “Roma”
Adam McKay, “Vice”
*This category is stacked! I, honestly, feel like all of them deserve to win, except for Spike Lee. Don’t get me wrong, I liked “BlacKkKlansman” a lot but I didn’t think Spike Lee’s direction is worthy of an Oscar. It’s the same way I feel about Glenn Close, give them lifetime achievement awards, not oscars just to make the world a little more fair.
Regardless, we don’t really have to worry about that happening because Alfonso Cuaron will snatch this award up along with the numerous other awards he’s won for “Roma.” Roma is,what I call, a cinematic masterpiece. Which is, kind of, too bad because opinions of it are pretty split. Some people love it and some think it is boring. I, personally, liked it. Well, I liked it in the fact that I enjoy watching it for cinematic purposes, it’s not a movie I would turn on on a friday night with all my friends.
Animated Feature:
“Incredibles 2,” Brad Bird
“Isle of Dogs,” Wes Anderson
“Mirai,” Mamoru Hosoda
“Ralph Breaks the Internet,” Rich Moore, Phil Johnston
*“Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse,” Bob Persichetti, Peter Ramsey, Rodney Rothman
* I hope this wins. And it’s been winning everything else so I can’t see why it won’t win here. It is an incredible film, not just movie but film, that really deserves to win. “Incredibles 2” had an incredible, hah get it? Box office which, I think, will support it on it’s own so it doesn’t need a win, in my opinion.
Animated Short:
“Animal Behaviour,” Alison Snowden, David Fine
*“Bao,” Domee Shi
“Late Afternoon,” Louise Bagnall
“One Small Step,” Andrew Chesworth, Bobby Pontillas
“Weekends,” Trevor Jimenez
*I don’t know too much about ”Bao” or any of the films nominated here. This is just the film that has the most buzz surrounding it and I believe people say- that it will end up winning.
Adapted Screenplay:
“The Ballad of Buster Scruggs,” Joel Coen , Ethan Coen
*“BlacKkKlansman,” Charlie Wachtel, David Rabinowitz, Kevin Willmott, Spike Lee
“Can You Ever Forgive Me?,” Nicole Holofcener and Jeff Whitty
“If Beale Street Could Talk,” Barry Jenkins
“A Star Is Born,” Eric Roth, Bradley Cooper, Will Fetters
*”BlacKkKlansman” will win this. I really don’t think it should. I did not love this movie but it’s pretty obvious the academy did and it has to take home the gold for something it was nominated for, right? I don’t think so, but that seems to be the way the academy thinks. I feel that every other movie nominated had better screenplays than “BlacKkKlansman.” I’m not saying it was bad, it was a fine screenplay that made into a fine film.
Original Screenplay:
*“The Favourite,” Deborah Davis, Tony McNamara
“First Reformed,” Paul Schrader
“Green Book,” Nick Vallelonga, Brian Currie, Peter Farrelly
“Roma,” Alfonso Cuarón
“Vice,” Adam McKay
*”The Favourite.” The more I think about this movie, the more I like it! I want it to win, I think it will win. Boom! I want it to win in just about every category it’s nominated in but I don’t think it will.
Cinematography:
“Cold War,” Lukasz Zal
“The Favourite,” Robbie Ryan
“Never Look Away,” Caleb Deschanel
*“Roma,” Alfonso Cuarón
“A Star Is Born,” Matthew Libatique
*”Roma” is just a superior film. What else can I say? This is a category that I feel should go to “The Favourite” but it won’t. When I stop and think about it, “Roma” did have a lot more subtle cinematography than “The Favourite.” So maybe, because of that, “Roma” should win. “Roma” has more elements, too, of it like being relevant to our time period and it being about Mexico right when president Trump wants to build a wall, and stuff. So maybe that will put it over the edge.
Best Documentary Feature:
“Free Solo,” Jimmy Chin, Elizabeth Chai Vasarhelyi
“Hale County This Morning, This Evening,” RaMell Ross
“Minding the Gap,” Bing Liu
“Of Fathers and Sons,” Talal Derki
*“RBG,” Betsy West, Julie Cohen
*This is a great film. I am okay with it winning. I, personally, liked “Free Solo” more, but “RBG” is a fine documentary. Plus, it is about a democrat, woman judge. The academy is mostly democrats, and with the whole “me too” and “times up” movements, this documentary has everything it needs to pull out a win.
Best Documentary Short Subject:
*“Black Sheep,” Ed Perkins
“End Game,” Rob Epstein, Jeffrey Friedman
“Lifeboat,” Skye Fitzgerald
“A Night at the Garden,” Marshall Curry
“Period. End of Sentence.,” Rayka Zehtabchi
*I don’t know too much about this film, or any of the films in this category. I’ve heard the most chatter saying that “Black Sheep” is going to win and after reading the synopsis, I am okay with the fact that it may win.
Best Live Action Short Film:
“Detainment,” Vincent Lambe
“Fauve,” Jeremy Comte
*“Marguerite,” Marianne Farley
“Mother,” Rodrigo Sorogoyen
“Skin,” Guy Nattiv
*I, again, don’t know much about this film, because I haven’t seen it, but I’ve heard good things about it and it seems pretty high class based on the brief synopsis I read.
Best Foreign Language Film:
“Capernaum” (Lebanon)
*“Cold War” (Poland)
“Never Look Away” (Germany)
*“Roma” (Mexico)
“Shoplifters” (Japan)
*You know, one would think obviously it will go to “Roma.” However, I think, and I am alone in this thought process, that if “Roma” wins best picture, which I think it will, the academy might vote for “Cold War.” I could be totally wrong, though, so that is why I’ve bolded both films as potential winners.
Film Editing:
“BlacKkKlansman,” Barry Alexander Brown
“Bohemian Rhapsody,” John Ottman
“Green Book,” Patrick J. Don Vito
“The Favourite,” Yorgos Mavropsaridis
*“Vice,” Hank Corwin
*I was not a fan of “Vice.” It ended giving me a bad feeling about humanity and the state of the world. That being said, I think this was, and is, a well-crafted film. Even though I was not a fan of the subject matter, I cannot deny that in some areas, like editing, it is a masterpiece.
Sound Editing:
“Black Panther,” Benjamin A. Burtt, Steve Boeddeker
“Bohemian Rhapsody,” John Warhurst
*“First Man,” Ai-Ling Lee, Mildred Iatrou Morgan
“A Quiet Place,” Ethan Van der Ryn, Erik Aadahl
“Roma,” Sergio Diaz, Skip Lievsay
*I LOVE “First Man!” I will go on record as saying that, I believe, it was totally snubbed in the awards department AND in the box office department. But at the same time, I can kind of understand it’s lack of recognition, which is so sad because I like it SO much that I want it to be a smash hit.
Sound Mixing:
“Black Panther”
“Bohemian Rhapsody”
“First Man”
“Roma”
*“A Star Is Born”
*This award kind of surprises me. I think “A Star is Born” has superb songs, I would think that the award for Sound Mixing would go to “First Man,” also,or “Bohemian Rhapsody.” Having said that, though, I really, really liked “A Star is Born” so anything it wins I’m generally happy about.
Production Design:
“Black Panther,” Hannah Beachler
“First Man,” Nathan Crowley, Kathy Lucas
*“The Favourite,” Fiona Crombie, Alice Felton
“Mary Poppins Returns,” John Myhre, Gordon Sim
“Roma,” Eugenio Caballero, Bárbara Enrı́quez
*I am happy to bold “The Favourite” as the film that will most likely win this category. This should obviously win because it had the most historically accurate, and the most “entertaining to the eye” production.
Original Score:
“BlacKkKlansman,” Terence Blanchard
“Black Panther,” Ludwig Goransson
*“If Beale Street Could Talk,” Nicholas Britell
“Isle of Dogs,” Alexandre Desplat
“Mary Poppins Returns,” Marc Shaiman, Scott Wittman
*Of course, “If Beale Street Could Talk” will win and I agree that it should win. This film has had a score that has been replaying in my head and one that I’ve remembered ever since I first saw the trailer for Beale Street.
Original Song:
“All The Stars” from “Black Panther” by Kendrick Lamar, SZA
“I’ll Fight” from “RBG” by Diane Warren, Jennifer Hudson
“The Place Where Lost Things Go” from “Mary Poppins Returns” by Marc Shaiman, Scott Wittman
*“Shallow” from “A Star Is Born” by Lady Gaga, Mark Ronson, Anthony Rossomando, Andrew Wyatt and Benjamin Rice
“When A Cowboy Trades His Spurs For Wings” from “The Ballad of Buster Scruggs” by David Rawlings and Gillian Welch
*Again, of course this’ll win the award for best song. I do love “All The Stars” from “Black Panther,” but “Shallow” has got this in the bag. It has won everything up until this point. Even with this group of nominees. So, I don’t think anything will stop it and nothing is trying to stop it from taking home Oscar gold.
Makeup and Hair:
“Border”
“Mary Queen of Scots”
*“Vice”
*The winner will be “Vice.” I feel like all I have to say is Christian Bale as Dick Cheney. That just about gets my point across.
Costume Design:
“The Ballad of Buster Scruggs,” Mary Zophres
*“Black Panther,” Ruth E. Carter
“The Favourite,” Sandy Powell
“Mary Poppins Returns,” Sandy Powell
“Mary Queen of Scots,” Alexandra Byrne
*I want “The Favourite” to win, and according to some experts as well as Gold Derby, it is in second place and may win if “Black Panther” doesn’t win. However, “Black Panther” did such a good job at projecting a whole different world with the costumes that I think it will win.
Visual Effects:
*“Avengers: Infinity War”
“Christopher Robin”
“First Man”
“Ready Player One”
“Solo: A Star Wars Story”
*I, personally, feel like “Ready Player One” should win, since the majority of that film was visual effects, but, realistically, I can see why it won’t win and I see why “Avengers: Infinity Wars” will win. “Ready Player One” doesn’t have very high quality visual effects while “Avengers: Infinity Wars” has insanely good visual effects. I mean, Josh Brolin as Thanos? You can’t even tell that he isn’t the way he looks in the film in real life. It will win.
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